Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.007098 0.007983 0.008951 0.010089 0.011394 0.012847 0.014592
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005879 0.007123 0.008604 0.010505 0.012897 0.015827 0.019721
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004988 0.006339 0.008035 0.010343 0.013432 0.017470 0.023223
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004433 0.005854 0.007719 0.010379 0.014129 0.019307 0.027140
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003926 0.005351 0.007291 0.010170 0.014408 0.020540 0.030312
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003648 0.005120 0.007192 0.010382 0.015277 0.022683 0.035092
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003354 0.004828 0.006966 0.010367 0.015779 0.024303 0.039250
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002994 0.004402 0.006496 0.009919 0.015537 0.024696 0.041401
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002779 0.004172 0.006295 0.009863 0.015907 0.026108 0.045482
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002706 0.004154 0.006418 0.010334 0.017194 0.029217 0.053077
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002469 0.003854 0.006062 0.009969 0.016990 0.029659 0.055682
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002282 0.003619 0.005793 0.009723 0.016967 0.030415 0.058998
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.003481 0.005681 0.009758 0.017488 0.032316 0.065093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002100 0.003457 0.005764 0.010154 0.018744 0.035828 0.075291
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001962 0.003280 0.005562 0.009999 0.018903 0.037143 0.080822
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001865 0.003168 0.005466 0.010034 0.019443 0.039315 0.088736
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.003003 0.005260 0.009832 0.019465 0.040364 0.094098
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001689 0.002952 0.005260 0.010036 0.020369 0.043489 0.105297
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001609 0.002851 0.005157 0.010022 0.020792 0.045568 0.114166
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001486 0.002660 0.004866 0.009590 0.020236 0.045256 0.116445
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001416 0.002566 0.004759 0.009537 0.020538 0.047066 0.125089
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001407 0.002587 0.004881 0.009990 0.022073 0.052180 0.144561
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001313 0.002438 0.004648 0.009638 0.021640 0.052162 0.148360